Sampaio Correa RJ U20 vs Boavista RJ U20

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Sampaio Correa RJ U20

Boavista RJ U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.6% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 26.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.3% 1.98 DRAW 26.7% 3.50 AWAY 26.0% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Boavista RJ U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sampaio Correa RJ U20 Boavista RJ U20

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 17.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Boavista RJ U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sampaio Correa RJ U20 Boavista RJ U20

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 7.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sampaio Correa RJ U20 Boavista RJ U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Sampaio Correa RJ U20 ↑ +0.18 (+10.0%)

Boavista RJ U20 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.