Portuguesa RJ U20 vs Bangu U20

26 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Portuguesa RJ U20

Bangu U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.3% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 36.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.3% 2.65 DRAW 29.3% 3.29 AWAY 34.4% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Bangu U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portuguesa RJ U20 Bangu U20

Shots 9.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Bangu U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portuguesa RJ U20 Bangu U20

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Bangu U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portuguesa RJ U20 Bangu U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Bangu U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Portuguesa RJ U20 = (0.0%)

Bangu U20 ↓ -0.25 (-8.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.