Sparta Prague U19 vs Mlada Boleslav U19

25 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.5 pp

Sparta Prague U19

Mlada Boleslav U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.4% DRAW 21.3% AWAY 29.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.9% 2.02 DRAW 22.7% 4.00 AWAY 32.4% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sparta Prague U19 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.4% win probability, compared with 44.9% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sparta Prague U19 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sparta Prague U19 Mlada Boleslav U19

Shots 16.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Sparta Prague U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sparta Prague U19 Mlada Boleslav U19

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sparta Prague U19 Mlada Boleslav U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Sparta Prague U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sparta Prague U19 ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

Mlada Boleslav U19 ↑ +0.05 (+1.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.