FK Prepere vs TJ Svitavy

03 Oct 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

FK Prepere

TJ Svitavy

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 84.1% DRAW 9.8% AWAY 6.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 81.3% 1.22 DRAW 11.6% 8.55 AWAY 7.1% 14.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK Prepere relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 84.1% win probability, compared with 81.3% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Prepere has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Prepere TJ Svitavy

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours FK Prepere, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Prepere TJ Svitavy

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.8

FK Prepere has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Prepere TJ Svitavy

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Prepere.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Prepere ↓ -0.06 (-4.9%)

TJ Svitavy ↑ +10.00 (+153.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.