SK Ujezd Praha 4 vs Slovan Velvary

03 Oct 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.1 pp

SK Ujezd Praha 4

Slovan Velvary

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.3% DRAW 15.2% AWAY 13.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.2% 1.44 DRAW 17.5% 5.47 AWAY 16.3% 5.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates SK Ujezd Praha 4 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 71.3% win probability, compared with 66.2% implied by the market. The 5.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

SK Ujezd Praha 4 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

SK Ujezd Praha 4 Slovan Velvary

Shots 8.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours SK Ujezd Praha 4, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SK Ujezd Praha 4 Slovan Velvary

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.0

SK Ujezd Praha 4 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SK Ujezd Praha 4 Slovan Velvary

The combined recent performance profile favours SK Ujezd Praha 4.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

SK Ujezd Praha 4 ↓ -0.22 (-13.3%)

Slovan Velvary ↑ +2.25 (+62.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.