SK Petrin Plzen vs Spartak Pribram

03 Oct 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.9 pp

SK Petrin Plzen

Spartak Pribram

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.3% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 29.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% 2.20 DRAW 23.4% 4.08 AWAY 33.2% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates SK Petrin Plzen clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.3% win probability, compared with 43.4% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SK Petrin Plzen

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SK Petrin Plzen Spartak Pribram

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 4.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours SK Petrin Plzen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SK Petrin Plzen Spartak Pribram

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SK Petrin Plzen Spartak Pribram

The combined recent performance profile favours SK Petrin Plzen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SK Petrin Plzen ↑ +0.15 (+7.3%)

Spartak Pribram ↑ +0.08 (+2.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.