Alianza FC Panama vs CA Independiente de la Chorrera

29 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Alianza FC Panama

CA Independiente de la Chorrera

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.5% DRAW 29.9% AWAY 28.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.3% 2.30 DRAW 29.9% 3.10 AWAY 29.9% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CA Independiente de la Chorrera

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alianza FC Panama CA Independiente de la Chorrera

Shots 13.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Alianza FC Panama, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alianza FC Panama CA Independiente de la Chorrera

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alianza FC Panama CA Independiente de la Chorrera

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Alianza FC Panama ↓ -0.08 (-3.2%)

CA Independiente de la Chorrera ↑ +0.40 (+14.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.