Union Cocle vs Plaza Amador

27 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Union Cocle

Plaza Amador

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 16.8% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 58.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.4% 5.18 DRAW 25.8% 3.69 AWAY 55.8% 1.71

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Plaza Amador has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Union Cocle Plaza Amador

Shots 4.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Plaza Amador, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Union Cocle Plaza Amador

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Plaza Amador has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Union Cocle Plaza Amador

The combined recent performance profile favours Plaza Amador.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Union Cocle ↑ +0.88 (+20.5%)

Plaza Amador = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.