Tauro FC vs San Francisco FC

27 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Tauro FC

San Francisco FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% DRAW 31.4% AWAY 29.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.3% 2.58 DRAW 31.2% 3.00 AWAY 32.5% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Tauro FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.1% win probability, compared with 36.3% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Tauro FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tauro FC San Francisco FC

Shots 10.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Tauro FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tauro FC San Francisco FC

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Tauro FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tauro FC San Francisco FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Tauro FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tauro FC ↑ +0.46 (+21.7%)

San Francisco FC ↓ -0.12 (-4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.