CA Independiente de la Chorrera vs Sporting San Miguelito

21 Sep 2026 · 01:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

CA Independiente de la Chorrera

Sporting San Miguelito

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 33.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.2% 2.64 DRAW 30.4% 3.05 AWAY 34.4% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Sporting San Miguelito

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Sporting San Miguelito

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Independiente de la Chorrera Sporting San Miguelito

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CA Independiente de la Chorrera ↑ +0.28 (+13.1%)

Sporting San Miguelito ↓ -0.40 (-12.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.