SC Bad Sauerbrunn vs Deutschkreutz

25 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.0 pp

SC Bad Sauerbrunn

Deutschkreutz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.7% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 26.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% 2.08 DRAW 23.8% 3.90 AWAY 31.5% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates SC Bad Sauerbrunn substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.7% win probability, compared with 44.7% implied by the market. The 6.0 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SC Bad Sauerbrunn

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SC Bad Sauerbrunn Deutschkreutz

Shots 16.0 · On target 6.3 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours SC Bad Sauerbrunn, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SC Bad Sauerbrunn Deutschkreutz

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 1.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SC Bad Sauerbrunn Deutschkreutz

The combined recent performance profile favours SC Bad Sauerbrunn.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SC Bad Sauerbrunn ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

Deutschkreutz ↑ +0.15 (+5.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.