Vonds Ichihara vs Grulla Morioka FC

03 Oct 2026 · 06:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Vonds Ichihara

Grulla Morioka FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.1% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 24.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% 1.99 DRAW 25.9% 3.69 AWAY 26.2% 3.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Vonds Ichihara has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vonds Ichihara Grulla Morioka FC

Shots 11.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vonds Ichihara Grulla Morioka FC

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Vonds Ichihara has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vonds Ichihara Grulla Morioka FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Vonds Ichihara.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Vonds Ichihara ↑ +0.05 (+2.4%)

Grulla Morioka FC ↑ +0.25 (+7.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.