Sigma Olomouc B vs MFK Vitkovice

03 Oct 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Sigma Olomouc B

MFK Vitkovice

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.0% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 24.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.4% 1.76 DRAW 22.6% 4.25 AWAY 23.0% 4.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

MFK Vitkovice has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sigma Olomouc B MFK Vitkovice

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sigma Olomouc B MFK Vitkovice

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sigma Olomouc B MFK Vitkovice

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Sigma Olomouc B ↑ +0.26 (+17.5%)

MFK Vitkovice ↓ -0.59 (-12.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.