Hluk vs SFK Holesov

18 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Hluk

SFK Holesov

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.7% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 26.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.0% 1.76 DRAW 21.5% 4.33 AWAY 25.5% 3.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hluk

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hluk SFK Holesov

Shots 10.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hluk SFK Holesov

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8

SFK Holesov has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hluk SFK Holesov

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Hluk ↓ -0.19 (-9.9%)

SFK Holesov ↑ +0.86 (+30.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.