Sparta Brno vs SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

03 Oct 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Sparta Brno

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.7% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 23.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.5% 1.73 DRAW 21.8% 4.49 AWAY 21.7% 4.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sparta Brno SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sparta Brno SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sparta Brno SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Sparta Brno ↑ +0.03 (+1.8%)

SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou ↑ +0.90 (+25.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.