FC Kurim vs Velke Mezirici

03 Oct 2026 · 10:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

FC Kurim

Velke Mezirici

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 73.3% DRAW 14.9% AWAY 11.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.3% 1.41 DRAW 16.7% 5.95 AWAY 13.0% 7.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Kurim relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 73.3% win probability, compared with 70.3% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Kurim has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Kurim Velke Mezirici

Shots 13.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Kurim, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Kurim Velke Mezirici

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Kurim Velke Mezirici

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Kurim.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Kurim ↓ -0.12 (-8.0%)

Velke Mezirici ↑ +3.27 (+75.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.