Wehen SV vs MSV Duisburg

20 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Wehen SV

MSV Duisburg

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.4% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 40.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.2% 2.88 DRAW 27.4% 3.50 AWAY 39.4% 2.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

MSV Duisburg has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wehen SV MSV Duisburg

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wehen SV MSV Duisburg

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.5

MSV Duisburg has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wehen SV MSV Duisburg

The combined recent performance profile favours MSV Duisburg.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Wehen SV ↓ -0.37 (-11.4%)

MSV Duisburg ↑ +0.43 (+21.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.