Magdeburg II vs VSG Altglienicke

25 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Magdeburg II

VSG Altglienicke

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.6% DRAW 19.7% AWAY 51.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.6% 3.66 DRAW 20.4% 4.60 AWAY 54.0% 1.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Magdeburg II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 28.6% win probability, compared with 25.6% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Magdeburg II

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Magdeburg II VSG Altglienicke

Shots 3.3 · On target 1.0 Shots 2.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Magdeburg II VSG Altglienicke

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Magdeburg II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Magdeburg II VSG Altglienicke

The combined recent performance profile favours Magdeburg II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Magdeburg II ↑ +0.35 (+10.6%)

VSG Altglienicke ↓ -0.07 (-3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.