Eastleigh vs Southend

30 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Eastleigh

Southend

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.0% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 56.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.0% 4.20 DRAW 22.3% 4.34 AWAY 54.7% 1.77

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Southend

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Eastleigh Southend

Shots 6.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Southend, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Eastleigh Southend

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Eastleigh has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Eastleigh Southend

The combined recent performance profile favours Southend.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Eastleigh ↓ -0.09 (-2.0%)

Southend ↑ +0.07 (+3.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.