Yeovil vs Worthing

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Yeovil

Worthing

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.3% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 34.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% 2.18 DRAW 23.0% 4.20 AWAY 32.7% 2.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Worthing

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Yeovil Worthing

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Worthing, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Yeovil Worthing

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Yeovil Worthing

The combined recent performance profile favours Worthing.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Yeovil ↑ +0.04 (+1.9%)

Worthing ↑ +0.12 (+4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.