AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

AFC Hornchurch

Aldershot

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.9% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 33.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% 2.25 DRAW 24.6% 3.94 AWAY 32.3% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Aldershot

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

AFC Hornchurch Aldershot

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Aldershot, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AFC Hornchurch Aldershot

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AFC Hornchurch Aldershot

The combined recent performance profile favours Aldershot.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AFC Hornchurch ↑ +0.14 (+6.6%)

Aldershot = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.