Gateshead vs Altrincham

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Gateshead

Altrincham

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.0% DRAW 20.4% AWAY 59.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.9% 4.56 DRAW 21.5% 4.44 AWAY 57.5% 1.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Altrincham has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gateshead Altrincham

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Altrincham, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gateshead Altrincham

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gateshead Altrincham

The combined recent performance profile favours Altrincham.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Gateshead ↑ +1.46 (+47.1%)

Altrincham ↓ -0.40 (-19.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.