Forest Green vs Wealdstone

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Forest Green

Wealdstone

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.3% DRAW 20.2% AWAY 21.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.9% 1.74 DRAW 21.5% 4.51 AWAY 22.6% 4.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Forest Green

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Forest Green Wealdstone

Shots 14.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Forest Green, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Forest Green Wealdstone

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Forest Green Wealdstone

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Forest Green ↑ +0.19 (+11.9%)

Wealdstone ↓ -0.49 (-10.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.