Barrow vs Scunthorpe

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Barrow

Scunthorpe

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.6% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 32.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% 2.09 DRAW 23.5% 4.08 AWAY 30.4% 3.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Barrow

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barrow Scunthorpe

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barrow Scunthorpe

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Scunthorpe has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barrow Scunthorpe

The combined recent performance profile favours Scunthorpe.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Barrow ↑ +0.09 (+4.3%)

Scunthorpe ↓ -0.09 (-2.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.