Dorados vs Alacranes de Durango

27 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Dorados

Alacranes de Durango

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 36.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% 2.45 DRAW 26.6% 3.60 AWAY 34.3% 2.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Alacranes de Durango has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dorados Alacranes de Durango

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 14.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Alacranes de Durango, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dorados Alacranes de Durango

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dorados Alacranes de Durango

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Dorados ↓ -0.01 (-0.4%)

Alacranes de Durango ↑ +0.19 (+7.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.