Club Atletico La Paz vs Venados FC

03 Oct 2026 · 05:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Club Atletico La Paz

Venados FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.2% DRAW 17.7% AWAY 19.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.4% 1.62 DRAW 19.3% 5.08 AWAY 20.3% 4.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Club Atletico La Paz relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.2% win probability, compared with 60.4% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Club Atletico La Paz

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Atletico La Paz Venados FC

Shots 18.5 · On target 6.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Club Atletico La Paz, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Atletico La Paz Venados FC

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Atletico La Paz Venados FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Club Atletico La Paz ↓ -0.22 (-12.0%)

Venados FC ↑ +0.16 (+3.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.