Tapatio vs Tlaxcala FC

21 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Tapatio

Tlaxcala FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 26.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% 1.97 DRAW 25.5% 3.76 AWAY 25.9% 3.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Tlaxcala FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tapatio Tlaxcala FC

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tapatio Tlaxcala FC

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tapatio Tlaxcala FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Tapatio ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

Tlaxcala FC ↑ +0.31 (+8.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.