NK Podvinci vs NK Ljutomer

29 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

NK Podvinci

NK Ljutomer

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 30.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.1% 2.06 DRAW 24.2% 3.75 AWAY 31.7% 2.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NK Podvinci

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Podvinci NK Ljutomer

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours NK Podvinci, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Podvinci NK Ljutomer

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8

NK Ljutomer has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Podvinci NK Ljutomer

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NK Podvinci ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

NK Ljutomer ↑ +0.11 (+4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.