Santa Cruz RS vs APAFUT

24 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Santa Cruz RS

APAFUT

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.7% DRAW 31.3% AWAY 26.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.2% 2.03 DRAW 30.6% 3.00 AWAY 24.3% 3.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: APAFUT

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santa Cruz RS APAFUT

Shots 4.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 14.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours APAFUT, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santa Cruz RS APAFUT

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Santa Cruz RS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santa Cruz RS APAFUT

The combined recent performance profile favours APAFUT.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Santa Cruz RS ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

APAFUT ↑ +0.09 (+2.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.