Santos Laguna U21 vs Pachuca U21

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Santos Laguna U21

Pachuca U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.6% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 44.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% 3.06 DRAW 27.6% 3.42 AWAY 41.4% 2.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Pachuca U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.2% win probability, compared with 41.4% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Pachuca U21 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santos Laguna U21 Pachuca U21

Shots 5.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Pachuca U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santos Laguna U21 Pachuca U21

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Pachuca U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santos Laguna U21 Pachuca U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Pachuca U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Santos Laguna U21 ↑ +0.46 (+17.5%)

Pachuca U21 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.