Vasas SC II vs BKV Elore SC

03 Oct 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Vasas SC II

BKV Elore SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 83.1% DRAW 10.6% AWAY 6.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 79.7% 1.26 DRAW 12.6% 8.00 AWAY 7.7% 13.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Vasas SC II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 83.1% win probability, compared with 79.7% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Vasas SC II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vasas SC II BKV Elore SC

Shots 14.3 · On target 7.0 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Vasas SC II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vasas SC II BKV Elore SC

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Vasas SC II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vasas SC II BKV Elore SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Vasas SC II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Vasas SC II ↓ -0.23 (-15.4%)

BKV Elore SC ↑ +8.10 (+165.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.