Ujpest II vs Monori SE

03 Oct 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Ujpest II

Monori SE

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 30.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% 2.16 DRAW 22.4% 4.27 AWAY 33.2% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Ujpest II relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.9% win probability, compared with 44.3% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Ujpest II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ujpest II Monori SE

Shots 16.8 · On target 7.3 Shots 14.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Ujpest II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ujpest II Monori SE

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Ujpest II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ujpest II Monori SE

The combined recent performance profile favours Ujpest II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ujpest II = (0.0%)

Monori SE ↑ +0.04 (+1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.