Paksi SE II vs Szekszardi

03 Oct 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.4 pp

Paksi SE II

Szekszardi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.1% DRAW 16.2% AWAY 14.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.7% 1.48 DRAW 18.2% 5.25 AWAY 17.1% 5.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Paksi SE II clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.1% win probability, compared with 64.7% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Paksi SE II has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Paksi SE II Szekszardi

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Paksi SE II Szekszardi

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 7.8

Paksi SE II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Paksi SE II Szekszardi

The combined recent performance profile favours Paksi SE II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Paksi SE II = (0.0%)

Szekszardi ↑ +0.80 (+16.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.