Bucaspor vs Altay SK Izmir

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Bucaspor

Altay SK Izmir

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.5% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 41.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.4% 2.89 DRAW 27.9% 3.25 AWAY 40.8% 2.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Altay SK Izmir

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bucaspor Altay SK Izmir

Shots 6.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Bucaspor, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bucaspor Altay SK Izmir

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Altay SK Izmir has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bucaspor Altay SK Izmir

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Bucaspor ↑ +1.04 (+56.0%)

Altay SK Izmir ↓ -1.38 (-38.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.