Karsiyaka vs Gaziemirspor

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Karsiyaka

Gaziemirspor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 32.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% 2.20 DRAW 26.4% 3.50 AWAY 31.6% 2.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Gaziemirspor

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Karsiyaka Gaziemirspor

Shots 12.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Karsiyaka Gaziemirspor

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Gaziemirspor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Karsiyaka Gaziemirspor

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Karsiyaka ↓ -0.10 (-4.3%)

Gaziemirspor ↑ +0.38 (+14.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.