KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SSVg Velbert

02 Oct 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

KFC Uerdingen 05

SSVg Velbert

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.8% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 43.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% 2.82 DRAW 21.6% 4.17 AWAY 46.4% 1.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for KFC Uerdingen 05 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.8% win probability, compared with 32.0% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

KFC Uerdingen 05 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

KFC Uerdingen 05 SSVg Velbert

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 1.8 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours KFC Uerdingen 05, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KFC Uerdingen 05 SSVg Velbert

Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.5

KFC Uerdingen 05 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KFC Uerdingen 05 SSVg Velbert

The combined recent performance profile favours KFC Uerdingen 05.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

KFC Uerdingen 05 = (0.0%)

SSVg Velbert = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.