Wuppertaler vs Sportfreunde Baumberg

02 Oct 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Wuppertaler

Sportfreunde Baumberg

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.9% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 55.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.2% 3.44 DRAW 20.2% 4.46 AWAY 53.6% 1.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Wuppertaler

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wuppertaler Sportfreunde Baumberg

Shots 1.3 · On target 0.5 Shots 0.3 · On target 0.0

Recent attacking output favours Wuppertaler, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wuppertaler Sportfreunde Baumberg

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 0.8 · On target allowed 0.8

Sportfreunde Baumberg has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wuppertaler Sportfreunde Baumberg

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Wuppertaler = (0.0%)

Sportfreunde Baumberg = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.