Bayer Leverkusen (W) vs Werder Bremen (W)

02 Oct 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Bayer Leverkusen (W)

Werder Bremen (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 23.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.3% 1.77 DRAW 21.8% 4.40 AWAY 23.9% 4.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bayer Leverkusen (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bayer Leverkusen (W) Werder Bremen (W)

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bayer Leverkusen (W) Werder Bremen (W)

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bayer Leverkusen (W) Werder Bremen (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bayer Leverkusen (W) ↑ +0.15 (+9.5%)

Werder Bremen (W) ↓ -0.18 (-4.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.