Peterborough Sports vs Redditch

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.2 pp

Peterborough Sports

Redditch

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.8% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 33.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% 2.07 DRAW 23.8% 4.04 AWAY 29.6% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Redditch clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.9% win probability, compared with 29.6% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Redditch has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Peterborough Sports Redditch

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Redditch, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Peterborough Sports Redditch

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Redditch has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Peterborough Sports Redditch

The combined recent performance profile favours Redditch.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Peterborough Sports ↑ +0.07 (+3.6%)

Redditch ↑ +0.25 (+8.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.