Bromsgrove vs Leamington

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.9 pp

Bromsgrove

Leamington

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.5% DRAW 19.2% AWAY 13.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.6% 1.55 DRAW 21.2% 4.58 AWAY 16.2% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Bromsgrove clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 67.5% win probability, compared with 62.6% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Bromsgrove

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bromsgrove Leamington

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bromsgrove Leamington

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 8.0

Bromsgrove has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bromsgrove Leamington

The combined recent performance profile favours Bromsgrove.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Bromsgrove ↓ -0.18 (-10.2%)

Leamington ↑ +2.25 (+60.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.