Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Bishop's Stortford

Bury Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.9% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 46.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% 3.43 DRAW 24.2% 3.95 AWAY 47.9% 1.99

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bury Town

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bishop's Stortford Bury Town

Shots 0.5 · On target 0.3 Shots 5.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Bury Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bishop's Stortford Bury Town

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Bishop's Stortford has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bishop's Stortford Bury Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Bury Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bishop's Stortford ↑ +0.23 (+7.0%)

Bury Town ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.