Alvechurch vs Stourbridge

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Alvechurch

Stourbridge

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 25.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.1% 1.87 DRAW 24.1% 3.97 AWAY 24.8% 3.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Stourbridge

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alvechurch Stourbridge

Shots 2.3 · On target 0.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Stourbridge, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alvechurch Stourbridge

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Alvechurch has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alvechurch Stourbridge

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Alvechurch ↑ +0.07 (+3.8%)

Stourbridge ↑ +0.25 (+6.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.