Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Hanworth Villa

Chichester City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.7% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 27.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% 1.89 DRAW 22.5% 4.25 AWAY 26.9% 3.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chichester City

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hanworth Villa Chichester City

Shots 2.5 · On target 0.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Chichester City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hanworth Villa Chichester City

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Hanworth Villa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hanworth Villa Chichester City

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Hanworth Villa ↑ +0.22 (+12.9%)

Chichester City ↓ -0.69 (-16.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.