Evesham United vs Chippenham Town

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Evesham United

Chippenham Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 36.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% 2.36 DRAW 24.4% 3.91 AWAY 35.2% 2.71

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chippenham Town

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Evesham United Chippenham Town

Shots 1.5 · On target 0.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Chippenham Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Evesham United Chippenham Town

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Evesham United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Evesham United Chippenham Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Chippenham Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Evesham United ↓ -0.01 (-0.4%)

Chippenham Town ↑ +0.21 (+8.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.