Chertsey Town vs Poole Town

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Chertsey Town

Poole Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 30.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% 2.07 DRAW 23.3% 4.10 AWAY 30.8% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chertsey Town

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chertsey Town Poole Town

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 2.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Chertsey Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chertsey Town Poole Town

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.3

Poole Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chertsey Town Poole Town

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chertsey Town ↑ +0.12 (+6.4%)

Poole Town ↓ -0.14 (-4.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.