Wimborne Town vs Yate Town

29 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Wimborne Town

Yate Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.5% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 29.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% 2.07 DRAW 25.2% 3.78 AWAY 28.8% 3.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Yate Town

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wimborne Town Yate Town

Shots 3.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Yate Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wimborne Town Yate Town

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Wimborne Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wimborne Town Yate Town

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Wimborne Town ↓ -0.02 (-0.8%)

Yate Town ↑ +0.27 (+8.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.