Teruel vs Huesca

27 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Teruel

Huesca

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.8% DRAW 31.2% AWAY 47.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.6% 4.41 DRAW 30.7% 3.10 AWAY 47.6% 2.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Huesca has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Teruel Huesca

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Huesca, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Teruel Huesca

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Teruel Huesca

The combined recent performance profile favours Huesca.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Teruel ↓ -0.20 (-4.7%)

Huesca ↑ +0.25 (+13.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.