Gimnastic vs UE Sant Andreu

26 Sep 2026 · 18:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

Gimnastic

UE Sant Andreu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.7% DRAW 29.6% AWAY 27.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.9% 2.05 DRAW 29.0% 3.24 AWAY 25.1% 3.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for UE Sant Andreu relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 27.8% win probability, compared with 25.1% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: UE Sant Andreu

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gimnastic UE Sant Andreu

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gimnastic UE Sant Andreu

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.3

UE Sant Andreu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gimnastic UE Sant Andreu

The combined recent performance profile favours UE Sant Andreu.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Gimnastic ↑ +0.23 (+12.6%)

UE Sant Andreu ↓ -0.35 (-8.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.