Antequera vs Real Jaen

27 Sep 2026 · 18:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Antequera

Real Jaen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.5% DRAW 29.5% AWAY 25.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% 2.02 DRAW 29.2% 3.20 AWAY 24.5% 3.81

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Antequera

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Antequera Real Jaen

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Antequera Real Jaen

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Real Jaen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Antequera Real Jaen

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Antequera ↓ -0.73 (-26.5%)

Real Jaen ↑ +1.41 (+58.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.