Real Zaragoza vs FC Cartagena

20 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Real Zaragoza

FC Cartagena

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.4% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 15.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.8% 1.71 DRAW 26.3% 3.70 AWAY 17.0% 5.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Real Zaragoza has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Zaragoza FC Cartagena

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Real Zaragoza, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Zaragoza FC Cartagena

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Real Zaragoza has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Zaragoza FC Cartagena

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Zaragoza.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Real Zaragoza ↑ +0.10 (+5.9%)

FC Cartagena ↑ +0.35 (+6.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.